EPL-dingoT predictions


Methodology: dingoT uses 6 different inputs ranging from ELO ratings to market values. The weight of inputs change as season progresses to reduce the importance of forward looking metrics such as betting odds in favor of actual achievements.

dingoT was not developed to be a predictive model; but since I have the data I calculated expected points based on dingoT for the upcoming season. Not all the inputs are complete as transfer window is very open. Hopefully I will have time time for dingoR(based on players) model predictions before season starts. dingoT does not foresee much of a separation at the bottom of the table and it is quiet close to Sporting Index predictions. I am pretty sure dingoR will be more interesting. (SI mid=SportingIndex)

SI mid dingoT
Chelsea 83 87
City 82 82
Arsenal 77 76
United 75 73
Liverpool 66 69
Spurs 62 58
S’hampton 57 53
Everton 54 53
Stoke 48 47
Swansea 47 46
CP 47 46
Newcastle 42 43
WBA 42 42
WHU 46 42
B’Mouth 39 42
LC 39 41
Sunderland 38 40
Norwich 38 40
AV 39 39
Watford 35 38

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