dingostats weekly-atletico-first 75+ EL game

Lineals first:

Chelsea will perhaps(93%) defend the title against Atletico in CL next week.

Helmond Cup DingoB Sandeman
Holder Bournemouth Chelsea Sivasspor
Next Opp Sheffield Wed(H) Sunderland(H) Antalyaspor(A)
Date  18-Apr 19-Apr 21-Apr
Lose? 20% 7% 46%

 

Then dingoT:

 

4/11/2014 . 4/18/2014
1-Bayern 135.2 1-RealMadrid 135.2
2-Barcelona 134.2 2-Barcelona 134.6
3-RealMadrid 132.7 3-Bayern 131.2
4-Chelsea 119.2 4-Chelsea 118.5
5-Atlético 117.0 5-Atlético 115.6
6-ManCity 112.9 6-ManCity 114.3
7-Juventus 107.9 7-Juventus 109.6
8-ManUnited 107.5 8-Dortmund 109.4
9-ParisSG 107.4 9-Liverpool 108.3
10-Dortmund 107.0 10-ManUnited 107.7
11-Benfica 106.2 11-ParisSG 105.9
12-Liverpool 105.7 12-Benfica 104.3
13-Arsenal 103.0 13-Arsenal 103.1
14-Schalke 96.2 14-Schalke 95.3
15-Porto 95.3 15-Porto 95.3
16-Valencia 95.0 16-Napoli 94.0
17-Everton 94.1 17-Shakhtar 93.5
18-Napoli 92.6 18-Roma 93.4
19-Shakhtar 92.6 19-Everton 93.2
20-Roma 92.1 20-Tottenham 91.8
21-Tottenham 92.0 21-Sevilla 91.5
22-Sevilla 91.9 22-Valencia 91.5
23-Zenit 89.7 23-Zenit 90.6
24-Leverkusen 89.7 24-Milan 90.6
25-Milan 89.5 25-Leverkusen 89.4
26-Bilbao 89.2 26-Bilbao 89.1
27-Sociedad 85.1 27-Inter 84.2
28-Salzburg 84.9 28-Ajax 84.2
29-Olympiakos 84.6 29-Salzburg 84.1
30-Ajax 84.3 30-Olympiakos 83.9
31-Gladbach 83.2 31-Sociedad 83.7
32-Fiorentina 82.1 32-CSKAMoskva 82.9
33-Villarreal 82.1 33-Fiorentina 82.7
34-CSKAMoskva 81.6 34-Wolfsburg 82.2
35-Basel 81.3 35-Gladbach 82.0
36-Galatasaray 81.3 36-Lyon 80.8
37-Lyon 81.2 37-Villarreal 80.8
38-Inter 80.9 38-Sporting 80.7
39-Wolfsburg 80.7 39-DynamoKyiv 80.6
40-Sporting 79.9 40-Basel 79.2

 

Commentary:

Bayern’s drop continues. In the first dingoT we published they were at 140.3 now they are down to 131.2 and 3rd in overall rankings. As previously discussed this has been mainly due to them winning Bundesliga and therefore fwd looking metrics adjusting. But Dortmund loss was a real loss; and if they can’t retain CL then they will not have a shot at no.1 by year end.  Galatasaray not only lost Sandeman Key over the weekend but also the only Turkish spot in top 40. Inter suddenly looks better as they focus on a European place for next year. Spain is distancing itself from  England in country rankings; and Germany’s slip continues. Did we see the best of Bundesliga for a while? If Dortmund will not be as competitive going forward Bayern’s domination is not so good for the league as other teams will play for CL spots and not much more.

 

dingoC

 

. #Teams #Points
Spa 7.5 41.6
Eng 7.0 29.8
Germ 5.0 21.0
Ita 5.5 15.7
Por 2.5 7.9
Fra 1.5 4.9
Rus 2.0 3.8
Ukr 1.5 3.4
Ned 1.0 1.7
Aus 1.0 1.7
Gre 1.0 1.7
Swi 0.5 0.8

 

Atletico

Atletico-the new Dortmund of the thinking classes of Brooklyn deserves special attention. So I decided to have a look with dingoR and results were not that surprising . An extremely well balanced team with only one player under 100.0 dingoR. Left back Filipe Luis is the odd man out; with a dingoR of 91.9. In other departments AM is strong or very strong. Courtois  is 116.3, in the back Uruguayan Godin is one of the best defenders in Europe  with 135.6. In midfield Gabi(120.0), Tiago (122.5) and Koke(130.7) deserve special mention while “Genius of Bayrampasa” Arda is just 106.1. Sub Raul Garcia has the highest dingoR with 137.6 while both Diego Costa and David Villa are very decent.(116.0 and 117.6)

We can derive points gained per player from dingoR and here is AM version(82 points).Points are a function of minutes played and raw dingoR score.

 

Thibaut Courtois 9.3
Diego Costa 8.5
Koke 8.1
Diego Godín 7.4
David Villa 7.0
Gabi 6.7
Raúl García 5.4
Juanfran 4.4
Miranda 4.0
Tiago 3.9
Arda Turan 2.6
Filipe Luis 2.4
Adrián 1.5
Mario Suárez 1.5
Toby Alderweireld 1.3
José Sosa 1.1
Diego 0.7
Cristian Rodríguez 0.6
Others/Unexplained 5.6

 

What to Watch:

04/19/14-Saturday

9:00am Parma vs Internazionale: 33.8

9:30am Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz 05: 10.0

12:30pm Hamburger SV vs Wolfsburg: 9.9

3:00pm Fiorentina vs Roma: 61.1

04/20/14-Sunday

11:10am Everton vs Manchester United: 75.1

3:00pm Barcelona vs Athletic Club: 59.4

3:00pm Olympique Marseille vs Lille: 6.8

04/22/14-Tuesday

2:45pm Atlético Madrid vs Chelsea: 96.2

—-

04/23/14-Wednesday

2:45pm Real Madrid vs Bayern München: 98.3

04/24/14-Thursday

3:05pm Sevilla vs Valencia: 60.9

3:05pm Benfica vs Juventus: 83.4 (first EL game this season with 75+ rating-well done Platini)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s