Dingo Weekly (3/21/14)

From now on every Friday( unless I am travelling) I will be posting the Dingo Weekly.  What will Dingo Weekly have:

1- dingoT top 32+8 Rankings: dingoT is a composite index of different team rankings on the internet combined with my own. It uses historical rankings such as (clubelo, ECI) as well as forward looking(odds based) ones. The formula is dynamic; as the season progresses it changes the relative weights of historical and fwd looking indexes to adjust for new/old season factor. This section will have a country ranking and  a short commentary.

2-Focus with dingoR: dingoR is a proprietary player rating system that I devised using the Opta data available on WhoScored. It values efficiency and ability to gain/not lose possession above everything else. Every week(except for this one) I will focus on either a coming match-up or a big dingoT mover using dingoR.

3-Title games: I will be posting next games of the title holders of lineal cups. Sandeman Key, Helmond Cup and dingoB.

4-What to Watch: I am serial rating creator. dingoW is a way of ranking what games to be watched that week. It basically considers quality of the teams(based on dingoT) and how competitive the game is likely to be. Currently it does not include O/U odds or superstar sightings(extra points for Suarez, Messi, Ibra, CR7 etc. based on dingoR)  but next year’s version should have that.

Dingo will be away next week so I leave you with 10 days of what to watch:

dingoT

3/14/2014     3/21/2014  
1- Bayern 139.3 1-Bayern 138.7
2- Real Madrid 133.0 2-Barcelona 134.5
3- Barcelona 132.0 3-RealMadrid 134.5
4- Chelsea 116.1 4-ManCity 113.9
5- Man City 113.2 5-Chelsea 113.8
6- Dortmund 112.1 6-Atlético 111.2
7- Atlético 111.5 7-Juventus 110.0
8- Paris SG 109.7 8-ParisSG 108.4
9- Juventus 109.6 9-Arsenal 107.0
10- Man United 105.8 10-ManUnited 105.7
11- Liverpool 104.9 11-Dortmund 105.7
12- Arsenal 104.7 12-Liverpool 105.5
13- Benfica 102.0 13-Benfica 104.1
14- Shakhtar 97.6 14-Shakhtar 96.1
15- Porto 96.7 15-Porto 95.2
16- Schalke 95.2 16-Schalke 95.1
17- Napoli 93.9 17-Napoli 94.6
18- Tottenham 92.7 18-Tottenham 93.4
19- Roma 92.2 19-Roma 92.2
20- Salzburg 91.4 20-Valencia 91.8
21- Everton 91.1 21-Everton 91.3
22- Leverkusen 90.9 22-Leverkusen 90.7
23- Valencia 90.7 23-Olympiakos 89.4
24- Olympiakos 90.2 24-Salzburg 89.3
25- Bilbao 89.2 25-Bilbao 88.9
26- Zenit 88.7 26-Zenit 88.6
27- Villarreal 85.4 27-Sevilla 87.5
28- Milan 84.8 28-Sociedad 86.7
29- Sevilla 84.1 29-Milan 85.0
30- Sociedad 84.1 30-Ajax 83.8
31- Wolfsburg 84.0 31-Gladbach 83.8
32- Fiorentina 83.5 32-Villarreal 83.6
33- Ajax 82.3 33-Wolfsburg 83.5
34- Gladbach 81.9 34-Fiorentina 83.2
35- Monaco 81.2 35-Inter 82.8
36- Lyon 80.8 36-Monaco 82.1
37- Galatasaray 80.7 37-Galatasaray 82.0
38- Inter 80.5 38-CSKAMoskva 80.8
39- Lille 80.3 39-Lyon 80.4
40-Sparta Praha 80.1 40-Lille 79.9

Commentary

Big news is Dortmund’s drop from 6th to 11th place. 2 home loses in the last week were partly responsible. Yet the bigger contributing factor has been the drop in fwd looking indexes. Many injuries Dortmund has as well as suspensions to key players in CL game versus RM pushed them out of top 8. With Bayern cherry picking its best players up every year Dortmund might find it difficult to maintain a top 10 ranking going forward.

Countries:

Country point allocations are Fibonacciesque

1 21
2 13
3-4 8
5-8 5
9-16 3
17-32 2
33-40 1

3/14/14 #Teams #Points   3/21/14 #Teams #Points
Spa 8.0 36 Spa 8.0 36
Germ 5.5 34 Germ 5.5 32
Eng 7.0 26 Eng 7.0 26
Ita 5.5 12 Ita 5.0 13
Fra 2.5 8 Fra 2.5 8
Por 2.0 6 Por 2.0 6
Ukr 1.0 3 Rus 1.5 3
Rus 1.0 2 Ukr 1.0 3
Gre 1.0 2 Gre 1.0 2
Aus 1.0 2 Aus 1.0 2
Ned 0.5 1 Ned 1.0 2
Tur 0.5 1 Tur 0.5 1
Cze 0.5 1

Commentary

Germany loses ground as Dortmund drops. Spain is emerging as the top dog with 5 teams still in QF stage in Europe. Czech’s lose their only team and Russians pickup an extra point(on top fd an extra peninsula on Black Sea) with CSKA.

—-

 

Next Week’s Lineal Title Games

Helmond Cup DingoB Sandeman
Holder Wigan Aston Villa Fenerbahce
Next Opp Watford(H) Stoke(H) Gaziantepspor (A)
Date  22-Mar 23-Mar 24-Mar

 

What to Watch with dingoW (times are EST)

Any game over 75 is worth making time for, over 85 is a “don’t miss”.

03/22/14-Saturday

8:45am Chelsea vs Arsenal: 81.2

10:30am Hannover 96 vs Borussia Dortmund: 57.2

10:30am Mainz 05 vs Bayern München: 64.8

10:30am Wolfsburg vs Augsburg :9.2

03/23/14-Sunday

9:30am Tottenham Hotspur vs Southampton: 17.0

2:00pm Valencia vs Villarreal: 34.3

3:45pm Lazio vs Milan: 32.7

4:00pm Real Madrid vs Barcelona: 96.2

—-

03/25/14-Tuesday

3:00pm Borussia Dortmund vs Schalke 04: 66.2

3:00pm Hertha BSC vs Bayern München: 50.7

3:00pm Werder Bremen vs Wolfsburg: 7.9

3:45pm Manchester United vs Manchester City: 91.5

3:45pm Newcastle United vs Everton: 46.2

03/26/14-Wednesday

3:45pm Fiorentina vs Milan: 37.8

3:45pm Juventus vs Parma :17.7  (Parma has not lost in 15 games)

5:00pm Sevilla vs Real Madrid: 80.4

—-

03/28/14- Friday

3:30pm Schalke 04 vs Hertha BSC: 5.7

03/29/14-Saturday

10:30am Mainz 05 vs Augsburg: 4.3

11:00am Southampton vs Newcastle United: 2.5

11:00am Espanyol vs Barcelona: 47.4

1:30pm Arsenal vs Manchester City: 92.4

3:00pm Athletic Club vs Atlético Madrid: 75.9

03/30/14-Sunday

12:00pm Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur: 71.0

3:45pm Napoli vs Juventus: 77.9

See you in April.

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